| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.1% | 50% | +1.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.0% | 77% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 64.4% | 67% | -2.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 59% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.8% | 25.8% | 44.4% |
| xgboost | 31.8% | 19.6% | 48.6% |
| logistic | 28.6% | 27.3% | 44.0% |
| Samsunspor | Trabzonspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1571 | 1691 |
| Surface Elo | 1571 | 1691 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 19 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Erzurumspor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Erzurumspor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Corum | 1 - 5 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Kocaelispor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Fenerbahce | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Galatasaray | 4 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Galatasaray | 4 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Konyaspor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Genclerbirligi | 5 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Amedspor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Samsunspor | 0 - 3 | Trabzonspor |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Trabzonspor | 1 - 1 | Samsunspor |
| 25 May 2025 | Trabzonspor | 2 - 2 | Samsunspor |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Samsunspor | 2 - 1 | Trabzonspor |
| 04 May 2024 | Samsunspor | 3 - 1 | Trabzonspor |
| 11 Jan 2024 | Trabzonspor | 2 - 1 | Samsunspor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.03 | 49.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.79 | 26.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.67 | 27.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.69 | 59.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |