| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.8% | 74% | -21.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.4% | 55.6% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Clement Tabur | Filippo Romano | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1648 | 1643 |
| Surface Elo | 1648 | 1643 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.10 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Luca Van Assche | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Luca Van Assche | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Valentin Royer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Henry Bernet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Sandro Kopp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Matthew William Donald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Mar 2026 | Clement Tabur | 1 - 2 | Filippo Romano |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.25 | 30.8% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.31 | 76.3% | 28 Oct 06:15 |