| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.7% | 65% | -11.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.7% | 50.2% |
| logistic | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Edas Butvilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1681 | 1632 |
| Surface Elo | 1681 | 1632 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 12 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Andres Andrade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Hance, Keaton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Jan Kumstat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Jan Kumstat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Max Hans Rehberg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Hans Rehberg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Jerome Kym | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep 2024 | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | Nishesh Basavareddy |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |