OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Scotland Scottish Cup · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Edinburgh City 1.60 4 - 1 1.20 Kelty Hearts
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.7%43%+4.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.6%81%-3.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 60.9%58%+3.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.0%63%-4.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson44.4%24.4%31.2%
xgboost44.9%26.4%28.7%
logistic44.9%25.7%29.5%
Inputs the models saw
Edinburgh CityKelty Hearts
Elo (pre-match)13471378
Surface Elo13471378
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.20
Form trend0.70-0.60
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W6 W · 2 D
Edinburgh City: last 5
17 OctAElgin0 - 0D
17 OctAElgin0 - 0D
13 OctHSt Mirren0 - 5L
10 OctHSpartans1 - 3L
10 OctHSpartans1 - 3L
Kelty Hearts: last 5
17 OctHForfar2 - 1W
17 OctHForfar2 - 1W
13 OctAEast Kilbride1 - 2L
10 OctAStirling1 - 2L
10 OctAStirling1 - 2L
Head to head
19 Sep 2026Kelty Hearts1 - 3Edinburgh City
19 Sep 2026Kelty Hearts1 - 3Edinburgh City
30 Mar 2024Kelty Hearts3 - 1Edinburgh City
13 Feb 2024Kelty Hearts3 - 2Edinburgh City
03 Feb 2024Edinburgh City0 - 3Kelty Hearts
07 Oct 2023Edinburgh City1 - 4Kelty Hearts
01 Apr 2022Edinburgh City1 - 1Kelty Hearts
15 Jan 2022Kelty Hearts2 - 2Edinburgh City
15 Oct 2021Edinburgh City2 - 3Kelty Hearts
21 Aug 2021Kelty Hearts1 - 0Edinburgh City
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.7037.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8026.3%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3043.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5962.9%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:54 UTC