| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.9% | 74% | -6.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.3% | 77.7% |
| logistic | 33.8% | 66.2% |
| Olle Wallin | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1519 | 1701 |
| Surface Elo | 1519 | 1701 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | A | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Tiago Cacao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Lukas Neumayer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Pedro Rodenas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Florian Broska | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Olle Wallin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Florian Broska | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Lukas Neumayer | 2 - 0 | Olle Wallin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.36 | 73.5% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 08 Oct 06:15 |