OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Portugal Liga Portugal · Sunday 08 November 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Guimaraes 1.00 1 - 2 3.00 Porto
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 61.6%61%+1.0%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 82.9%85%-2.2%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 77.8%79%-1.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 49.1%52%-2.4%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 52.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson16.3%25.5%58.1%
xgboost18.0%19.1%62.9%
logistic14.6%21.4%64.0%
Inputs the models saw
GuimaraesPorto
Elo (pre-match)14961887
Surface Elo14961887
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.003.00
Form trend-0.400.00
Season points per game1.333.00
Season goals for / game2.002.50
Season goals against / game1.000.50
Rest days57
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W8 W · 1 D
Guimaraes: last 5
07 NovASC Sao Joao de Ver2 - 0W
02 NovAGil Vicente0 - 0D
01 NovHSC Vianense2 - 2D
25 OctAVarzim SC4 - 2W
23 OctHMaritimo5 - 0W
Porto: last 5
08 NovHPortimonense0 - 1L
04 NovHNapoli4 - 1W
31 OctHEstoril4 - 0W
31 OctHEstoril4 - 0W
31 OctAAmarante FC1 - 2L
Head to head
18 Jan 2026Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
11 Aug 2025Porto3 - 0Guimaraes
24 Feb 2025Porto1 - 1Guimaraes
21 Sep 2024Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
07 Apr 2024Porto1 - 2Guimaraes
11 Nov 2023Guimaraes1 - 2Porto
27 May 2023Porto3 - 0Guimaraes
21 Jan 2023Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
10 Apr 2022Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
28 Nov 2021Porto2 - 1Guimaraes
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6560.6%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0824.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home5.0619.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8753.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9451.5%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:01 UTC