| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 70.2% | 29.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| logistic | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| Lorenzo Musetti | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2029 | 1835 |
| Surface Elo | 2029 | 1835 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.70 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 1.13 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Luca Van Assche | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Learner Tien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Learner Tien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Mariano Navone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Mariano Navone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov 2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | 1 - 2 | Luca Van Assche |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Luca Van Assche | 1 - 2 | Lorenzo Musetti |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | 2 - 1 | Luca Van Assche |
| 15 Jan 2024 | Lorenzo Musetti | 2 - 3 | Luca Van Assche |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||