| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.4% | 72% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.7% | 32.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.9% | 31.0% |
| logistic | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| Stefano Travaglia | Viktor Durasovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1580 | 1515 |
| Surface Elo | 1580 | 1515 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 20 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Valentin Royer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Viktor Durasovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Marvin Moeller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Marvin Moeller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Christian Langmo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Stefano Travaglia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Manas Dhamne | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Stefano Travaglia | 2 - 1 | Viktor Durasovic |
| 19 May 2025 | Stefano Travaglia | 1 - 2 | Viktor Durasovic |
| 06 Jan 2020 | Stefano Travaglia | 2 - 0 | Viktor Durasovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.39 | 71.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |