OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🏒 Ice hockey on 2026-11-12
🏒 NHL · Thursday 12 November 2026, 02:30 UTC · finished
Vegas Golden Knights 0.60 5 - 3 0.40 Utah Utah Hockey Club
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 57.2%56%+1.6%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson49.3%35.0%
xgboost48.2%50.9%
logistic55.2%44.8%
Inputs the models saw
Vegas Golden KnightsUtah Utah Hockey Club
Elo (pre-match)16001511
Surface Elo16001511
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.40
Form trend-0.300.20
Season points per game0.630.56
Season goals for / game3.373.50
Season goals against / game2.683.50
Rest days34
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W5 W · 0 D
Vegas Golden Knights: last 5
08 NovABuffalo Sabres4 - 1W
06 NovADetroit Red Wings2 - 1W
04 NovAPittsburgh Penguins3 - 2W
03 NovABoston Bruins2 - 3L
30 OctHNew Jersey Devils2 - 5L
Utah Utah Hockey Club: last 5
08 NovAOttawa Senators2 - 4L
06 NovAMontréal Canadiens4 - 5L
04 NovAToronto Maple Leafs3 - 2W
01 NovAPhiladelphia Flyers3 - 6L
29 OctAPittsburgh Penguins4 - 3W
Head to head
02 May 2026Utah Utah Hockey Club1 - 5Vegas Golden Knights
30 Apr 2026Vegas Golden Knights5 - 4Utah Utah Hockey Club
28 Apr 2026Utah Utah Hockey Club4 - 5Vegas Golden Knights
25 Apr 2026Utah Utah Hockey Club4 - 2Vegas Golden Knights
22 Apr 2026Vegas Golden Knights2 - 3Utah Utah Hockey Club
20 Apr 2026Vegas Golden Knights4 - 2Utah Utah Hockey Club
20 Mar 2026Vegas Golden Knights0 - 4Utah Utah Hockey Club
25 Nov 2025Utah Utah Hockey Club5 - 1Vegas Golden Knights
21 Nov 2025Utah Utah Hockey Club1 - 4Vegas Golden Knights
01 Dec 2024Vegas Golden Knights0 - 6Utah Utah Hockey Club
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Pinnacle sharp1X2home1.8055.6%12 Nov 00:20
Pinnacle sharp1X2away2.1346.9%12 Nov 00:20
Generated 2026-11-12 21:43 UTC