| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.5% | 81% | -16.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 83.5% | 94% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 79.6% | 93% | -13.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.2% | 78% | -6.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 16.5% | 19.1% | 64.5% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | ||
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | ||
| Sevilla | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1629 | 1932 |
| Surface Elo | 1629 | 1932 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.17 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 4.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 8 W · 1 D |
| 16 Sep | A | La Coruna | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Valencia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Espanol | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Atlético Madrid | 1 - 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Athletic Club | 3 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Santander | 7 - 2 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Levante | 4 - 2 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Valencia | 5 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Vallecano | 5 - 2 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | Athletic Club | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Barcelona | 5 - 2 | Sevilla |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Sevilla | 4 - 1 | Barcelona |
| 09 Feb 2025 | Sevilla | 1 - 4 | Barcelona |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Barcelona | 5 - 1 | Sevilla |
| 26 May 2024 | Sevilla | 1 - 2 | Barcelona |
| 29 Sep 2023 | Barcelona | 1 - 0 | Sevilla |
| 05 Feb 2023 | Barcelona | 3 - 0 | Sevilla |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Sevilla | 0 - 3 | Barcelona |
| 03 Apr 2022 | Barcelona | 1 - 0 | Sevilla |
| 21 Dec 2021 | Sevilla | 1 - 1 | Barcelona |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 19 Sep 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 6.50 | 15.4% | 19 Sep 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 8.00 | 12.5% | 19 Sep 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.29 | 77.5% | 19 Sep 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.75 | 26.7% | 19 Sep 20:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.27 | 78.7% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 7.35 | 13.6% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 10.34 | 9.7% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.31 | 76.3% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.60 | 27.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |