| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.8% | 33% | +27.4% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 85.1% | 63% | +22.4% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 80.0% | 46% | +34.4% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 53% | +8.2% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.9% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.4% | 21.1% | 19.5% |
| xgboost | 62.3% | 22.7% | 14.9% |
| logistic | 67.9% | 21.1% | 11.0% |
| Palermo | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1629 | 1415 |
| Surface Elo | 1629 | 1415 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Pisa | 3 - 3 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Pisa | 3 - 3 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Carrarese | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Carrarese | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Salernitana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Ac Milan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Benevento | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Benevento | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Ascoli | 1 - 6 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Ascoli | 1 - 6 | L |
| 01 May 2026 | Palermo | 3 - 2 | Catanzaro |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Catanzaro | 1 - 0 | Palermo |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Catanzaro | 1 - 3 | Palermo |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Palermo | 1 - 2 | Catanzaro |
| 26 Jan 2024 | Catanzaro | 1 - 1 | Palermo |
| 01 Dec 2023 | Palermo | 1 - 2 | Catanzaro |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.79 | 55.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |