| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.8% | 76% | -7.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 21.4% | 78.6% |
| logistic | 27.2% | 72.8% |
| Maria Sakkari | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1656 | 1903 |
| Surface Elo | 1656 | 1903 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Storm Hunter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elina Svitolina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Storm Hunter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Talia Gibson | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Nao Hibino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Katerina Siniakova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Ann Li | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Maria Sakkari | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Katerina Siniakova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 0 | Maria Sakkari |
| 22 Apr 2025 | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 0 | Maria Sakkari |
| 01 Jul 2019 | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 1 | Maria Sakkari |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.70 | 27.0% | 05 Oct 06:15 |