| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.2% | 51% | -6.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.7% | 81% | -7.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.8% | 68% | -10.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 59% | -1.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.1% | 27.0% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 36.0% | 34.6% | 29.4% |
| logistic | 39.7% | 25.8% | 34.5% |
| Yeovil | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1457 | 1498 |
| Surface Elo | 1457 | 1498 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 4 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Wealdstone | 6 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Wealdstone | 6 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Boston Utd | 6 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Boston Utd | 6 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Worthing | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Manchester United | 6 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Aldershot | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Aldershot | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 1 - 3 | L |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Altrincham | 0 - 1 | Yeovil |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Yeovil | 1 - 0 | Altrincham |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Altrincham | 2 - 1 | Yeovil |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Yeovil | 0 - 0 | Altrincham |
| 28 Feb 2023 | Yeovil | 1 - 1 | Altrincham |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Altrincham | 2 - 2 | Yeovil |
| 15 May 2022 | Altrincham | 0 - 1 | Yeovil |
| 12 Oct 2021 | Yeovil | 1 - 1 | Altrincham |
| 22 May 2021 | Altrincham | 4 - 3 | Yeovil |
| 13 Feb 2021 | Yeovil | 2 - 0 | Altrincham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.33 | 30.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |