| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.2% | 59% | -6.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.6% | 83% | -6.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.8% | 77% | -8.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% | 60% | +3.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.5% | 23.5% | 27.9% |
| xgboost | 48.8% | 25.4% | 25.9% |
| logistic | 46.3% | 26.3% | 27.3% |
| Wealdstone | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1374 | 1344 |
| Surface Elo | 1374 | 1344 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Tamworth | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Tamworth | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Halifax | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Boston Utd | 3 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Kidderminster | 1 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Southend | 1 - 6 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Southend | 1 - 6 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Forest Green | 0 - 4 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Solihull | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Gateshead | 1 - 0 | Wealdstone |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Wealdstone | 2 - 2 | Gateshead |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Wealdstone | 0 - 4 | Gateshead |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Gateshead | 1 - 0 | Wealdstone |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Wealdstone | 2 - 4 | Gateshead |
| 03 Oct 2023 | Gateshead | 2 - 1 | Wealdstone |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Wealdstone | 1 - 2 | Gateshead |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Gateshead | 0 - 1 | Wealdstone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.66 | 60.2% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |