| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.7% | 78% | -15.3% | |
| DC | Draw or away | 85.3% | 92% | -7.0% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 80.8% | 91% | -9.9% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.5% | 74% | -7.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 62.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 12.7% | 20.2% | 67.1% |
| xgboost | 18.4% | 15.2% | 66.4% |
| logistic | 13.8% | 22.3% | 63.8% |
| Le Havre | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1526 | 1883 |
| Surface Elo | 1526 | 1883 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 5 W · 1 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Marseille | 3 - 4 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Marseille | 3 - 4 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Auxerre | 1 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Auxerre | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Lille | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Lyon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Barcelona | 4 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Strasbourg | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Strasbourg | 3 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Manchester City | 4 - 2 | W |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Le Havre | 0 - 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 - 0 | Le Havre |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 1 | Le Havre |
| 16 Aug 2024 | Le Havre | 1 - 4 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 - 3 | Le Havre |
| 03 Dec 2023 | Le Havre | 0 - 2 | Paris Saint Germain |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.33 | 75.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.41 | 15.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 8.77 | 11.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.38 | 72.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.20 | 31.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |