| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.9% | 52% | +5.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 38.6% | 61.3% |
| logistic | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Madison Brengle | Ella Mcdonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1593 | 1636 |
| Surface Elo | 1593 | 1636 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.77 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.85 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.31 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Elizabeth Mandlik | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Thea Frodin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Sloane Stephens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Chang, H | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Anastasia Tikhonova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Mortensen, R | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Rose Marie Nijkamp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Iryna Shymanovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Madison Brengle | 1 - 2 | Ella Mcdonald |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.94 | 51.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |