| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 39.7% | 36% | +3.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.2% | 73% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.3% | 51% | +2.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 52% | +2.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.5% | 25.7% | 26.8% |
| xgboost | 30.0% | 31.5% | 38.6% |
| logistic | 34.8% | 27.7% | 37.5% |
| Leeds | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1733 | 1659 |
| Surface Elo | 1733 | 1659 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.80 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Hartlepool | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Bournemouth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Bournemouth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Stoke | 2 - 2 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Sunderland | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Crystal Palace | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Crystal Palace | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Chelsea | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Chelsea | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Coventry | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 May 2026 | Tottenham | 1 - 1 | Leeds |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Leeds | 1 - 2 | Tottenham |
| 28 May 2023 | Leeds | 1 - 4 | Tottenham |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Tottenham | 4 - 3 | Leeds |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Leeds | 0 - 4 | Tottenham |
| 21 Nov 2021 | Tottenham | 2 - 1 | Leeds |
| 08 May 2021 | Leeds | 3 - 1 | Tottenham |
| 02 Jan 2021 | Tottenham | 3 - 0 | Leeds |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.46 | 28.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.83 | 35.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.92 | 52.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.93 | 51.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |