| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.5% | 81% | -12.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 86.1% | 13.9% |
| logistic | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| Inaki Montes De La Torre | Michael Agwi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1637 | 1534 |
| Surface Elo | 1637 | 1534 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Fausto Tabacco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Luca Potenza | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Francisco Rocha | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Nov | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Nov | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Nov | A | Luca Castagnola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Nov | H | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 26 Sep 06:15 |