OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC · finished
Angers 0.80 0 - 0 2.00 Lorient
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 45.1%41%+3.9%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.1%74%+0.3%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 58.9%58%+1.1%void
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 52.4%55%-2.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 49.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson29.6%28.5%41.9%
xgboost28.7%27.0%44.3%
logistic33.0%29.0%38.0%
Inputs the models saw
AngersLorient
Elo (pre-match)15491666
Surface Elo15491666
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.802.00
Form trend0.10-0.20
Season points per game1.001.57
Season goals for / game1.291.00
Season goals against / game2.140.86
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 2 D
Angers: last 5
18 OctHMarseille2 - 5L
18 OctHMarseille2 - 5L
10 OctABrest1 - 5L
10 OctABrest1 - 5L
19 SepHTroyes2 - 0W
Lorient: last 5
18 OctHMonaco1 - 0W
18 OctHMonaco1 - 0W
10 OctHParis FC1 - 0W
10 OctHParis FC1 - 0W
19 SepALe Mans1 - 2L
Head to head
15 Feb 2026Lorient2 - 0Angers
26 Oct 2025Angers2 - 0Lorient
05 Feb 2023Lorient0 - 0Angers
01 Jan 2023Angers1 - 2Lorient
16 Jan 2022Lorient0 - 0Angers
21 Nov 2021Angers1 - 0Lorient
02 May 2021Lorient2 - 0Angers
06 Dec 2020Angers2 - 0Lorient
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.2544.4%25 Oct 16:15
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%25 Oct 16:15
Bet3651X2home3.2031.2%25 Oct 16:15
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.0548.8%25 Oct 16:15
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8055.6%25 Oct 16:15
SportyBet1X2away2.5139.8%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4129.3%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.0432.9%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0050.0%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8554.0%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC