| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.0% | 59% | -8.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.6% | 84% | -8.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.5% | 76% | -9.8% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 67% | -4.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.7% | 22.2% | 18.1% |
| xgboost | 42.4% | 22.4% | 35.2% |
| logistic | 52.1% | 26.6% | 21.2% |
| Spartans | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1438 | 1359 |
| Surface Elo | 1438 | 1359 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | H | Dundee | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Dumbarton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Dumbarton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Forfar | 5 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Montrose | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Heart of Midlothian FC | 3 - 5 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Edinburgh City | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Edinburgh City | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Clyde | 1 - 4 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 02 Oct 06:15 |