| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 73.5% | 89% | -15.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.6% | 32.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 76.7% | 23.2% |
| logistic | 63.9% | 36.1% |
| Francisco Comesana | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1634 | 1538 |
| Surface Elo | 1634 | 1538 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Nick Hardt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Lucio Ratti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francisco Comesana | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alex Barrena | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Lucio Ratti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri |
| 11 Sep 2023 | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 0 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri |
| 09 May 2022 | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 0 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.00 | 20.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.15 | 87.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |