| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.5% | 38% | +12.1% | |
| DC | Home or away | 80.9% | 82% | -1.0% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.2% | 52% | +10.4% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 65% | -7.5% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.8% | 27.3% | 35.9% |
| xgboost | 41.1% | 24.9% | 34.0% |
| logistic | 14.9% | 8.0% | 77.1% |
| Pro Vercelli | Udinese | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1422 | 1573 |
| Surface Elo | 1422 | 1573 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3088 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | ACD Ospitaletto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | AC Renate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Reggiana | 3 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Lecco | 0 - 5 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Brescia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Parma | 0 - 0 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Parma | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Ac Milan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Ac Milan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Lecce | 0 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.55 | 64.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |