| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.8% | 76% | -9.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 27.4% | 72.5% |
| logistic | 33.5% | 66.5% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Valentin Vacherot | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1883 | 2076 |
| Surface Elo | 1883 | 2076 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 26 Oct | H | Mariano Navone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Luca Van Assche | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Luca Van Assche | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.34 | 74.6% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.38 | 29.6% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.33 | 75.2% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.30 | 30.3% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.32 | 75.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.40 | 29.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.29 | 77.5% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.35 | 29.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.39 | 71.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.55 | 28.2% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Rafael Jodar | 1.40 | 71.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Valentin Vacherot | 3.60 | 27.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.35 | 74.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.34 | 29.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.30 | 76.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.45 | 29.0% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.32 | 75.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.42 | 29.2% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.35 | 74.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.20 | 31.2% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.32 | 75.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.34 | 29.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.39 | 71.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.55 | 28.2% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Rafael Jodar | 1.40 | 71.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Valentin Vacherot | 3.60 | 27.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.30 | 76.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.45 | 29.0% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.35 | 74.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.55 | 28.2% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.29 | 77.5% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.05 | 32.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.32 | 75.8% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.55 | 28.2% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.25 | 80.0% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.60 | 27.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.27 | 78.7% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.15 | 31.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.35 | 74.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.20 | 31.2% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.35 | 74.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.20 | 31.2% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.33 | 75.2% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.30 | 30.3% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.32 | 75.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.60 | 27.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Rafael Jodar | 1.29 | 77.5% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 3.35 | 29.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |