| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.2% | 71% | -4.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 33.4% | 66.6% |
| logistic | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| Matteo Martineau | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1542 | 1662 |
| Surface Elo | 1542 | 1662 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Justin Boulais | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Cesar Bouchelaghem | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Anton Matusevich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Marek Gengel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 22 Sep 06:15 |