| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.6% | 80% | -11.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.9% | 37.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 81.1% | 18.9% |
| logistic | 70.4% | 29.6% |
| Alexander Ritschard | Raul Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1731 | 1527 |
| Surface Elo | 1731 | 1527 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Michael Vrbensky | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Michael Vrbensky | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Alexander Ritschard | 2 - 1 | Raul Brancaccio |
| 22 Jan 2024 | Alexander Ritschard | 2 - 0 | Raul Brancaccio |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 22 Oct 06:15 |