| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.4% | 65% | -7.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.9% | 56.0% |
| logistic | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Georgii Kravchenko | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1496 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1496 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Tom Gentzsch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Laurent Lokoli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Alexander Donski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Sebastian Dominko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Moez Echargui | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Maxime Janvier | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 12 Oct 06:15 |