| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.7% | 63% | -10.6% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| logistic | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Learner Tien | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1955 | 1946 |
| Surface Elo | 1955 | 1946 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 24 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Jakub Mensik | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Sep | A | Gael Monfils | 3 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Nuno Borges | 3 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Learner Tien | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Denis Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Denis Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct 2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | 2 - 1 | Learner Tien |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.51 | 39.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.38 | 42.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.55 | 39.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.39 | 41.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.50 | 40.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.66 | 60.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.52 | 39.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Learner Tien | 1.67 | 59.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.47 | 40.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.59 | 62.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.39 | 41.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.42 | 41.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.48 | 40.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.61 | 62.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.48 | 40.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.54 | 64.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.46 | 40.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.54 | 64.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.50 | 40.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.66 | 60.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.52 | 39.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Learner Tien | 1.67 | 59.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.39 | 41.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.48 | 40.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.60 | 62.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.35 | 42.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.48 | 67.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.35 | 42.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Tipico | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.52 | 65.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.50 | 40.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.52 | 65.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.48 | 40.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.54 | 64.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.48 | 40.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.54 | 64.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.38 | 42.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.57 | 63.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 2.55 | 39.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.56 | 64.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |