OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
⚽ Eredivisie · Sunday 18 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Twente 2.20 1 - 2 1.40 Utrecht
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.4%74%-14.3%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 84.7%91%-6.7%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 79.3%89%-9.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 67.4%74%-6.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 58.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson53.5%24.5%22.0%
xgboost66.2%19.5%14.3%
logistic69.9%20.0%10.0%
Inputs the models saw
TwenteUtrecht
Elo (pre-match)16901601
Surface Elo16901601
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.201.40
Form trend0.00-0.50
Season points per game2.131.00
Season goals for / game2.001.75
Season goals against / game1.003.13
Rest days87
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Twente: last 5
15 OctHFC Thun1 - 0W
10 OctAFortuna Sittard1 - 1D
10 OctAFor Sittard1 - 1D
20 SepHPSV Eindhoven3 - 2W
20 SepHPSV Eindhoven3 - 2W
Utrecht: last 5
11 OctHWillem II3 - 1W
11 OctHWillem II3 - 1W
09 OctAGraafschap1 - 2L
20 SepAFeyenoord0 - 5L
20 SepAFeyenoord0 - 5L
Head to head
15 Mar 2026Twente0 - 2Utrecht
07 Dec 2025Utrecht1 - 1Twente
11 May 2025Twente2 - 0Utrecht
01 Sep 2024Utrecht2 - 1Twente
18 Feb 2024Twente0 - 1Utrecht
05 Nov 2023Utrecht1 - 1Twente
16 Apr 2023Utrecht1 - 0Twente
22 Jan 2023Twente2 - 0Utrecht
22 Dec 2021Utrecht1 - 1Twente
11 Sep 2021Twente1 - 0Utrecht
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away8.5011.8%18 Oct 19:00
Bet3651X2draw5.2519.1%18 Oct 19:00
Bet3651X2home1.3673.5%18 Oct 19:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4469.4%18 Oct 19:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.7037.0%18 Oct 19:00
SportyBet1X2away7.4313.5%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.8317.2%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3872.5%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3773.0%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.2031.2%18 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC