| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.0% | 27% | +16.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.9% | 74% | -1.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.1% | 38% | +18.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 54% | +5.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.7% | 32.4% | 23.9% |
| xgboost | 28.6% | 29.3% | 42.1% |
| logistic | 35.3% | 29.1% | 35.6% |
| Hull | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1603 | 1715 |
| Surface Elo | 1603 | 1715 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Newcastle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Chelsea | 2 - 2 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Aston Villa | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Coventry | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Manchester United | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Boreham Wood | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Ipswich | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Tottenham | 0 - 0 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Manchester United | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Bournemouth | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.95 | 51.3% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 4.10 | 24.4% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.80 | 55.6% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.17 | 46.1% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.45 | 29.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.70 | 27.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |