OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ La Liga 2 · Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
Las Palmas 0.80 0 - 3 2.00 Castellon
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.6%50%-2.3%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.0%78%-2.5%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 60.8%68%-6.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.0%60%-5.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 52.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.8%26.2%33.0%
xgboost26.0%24.8%49.2%
logistic27.3%27.6%45.1%
Inputs the models saw
Las PalmasCastellon
Elo (pre-match)15251592
Surface Elo15251592
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.802.00
Form trend0.500.80
Season points per game1.222.22
Season goals for / game1.441.67
Season goals against / game1.780.44
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W2 W · 1 D
Las Palmas: last 5
11 OctAMallorca1 - 3L
11 OctAMallorca1 - 3L
04 OctHValladolid2 - 2D
04 OctHValladolid2 - 2D
04 OctARC Recreativo de Huelva0 - 4L
Castellon: last 5
11 OctAAndorra0 - 1L
11 OctAAndorra0 - 1L
04 OctHCeuta1 - 1D
04 OctHCeuta1 - 1D
03 OctHCF Lorca Deportiva2 - 1W
Head to head
21 Feb 2026Las Palmas1 - 1Castellon
30 Nov 2025Castellon1 - 0Las Palmas
27 Feb 2021Castellon4 - 0Las Palmas
21 Oct 2020Las Palmas2 - 1Castellon
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.8653.8%17 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2draw3.7027.0%17 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2home3.9025.6%17 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6560.6%17 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2045.5%17 Oct 20:00
SportyBet1X2away2.0548.8%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.4029.4%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6461.0%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC