| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.2% | 39% | +15.0% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| logistic | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Alice Tubello | Jazmin Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1553 | 1581 |
| Surface Elo | 1553 | 1581 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Cinalli, Luna Maria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Laura Samson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Alisa Oktiabreva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipek Oz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Martha Matoula | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Lourdes Ayala | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Victoria Bosio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Barbora Palicova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Mintegi Del Olmo, Ane | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Amariei, I | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |