| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.9% | 72% | -21.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.4% | 95% | -19.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.0% | 91% | -26.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 56% | -1.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.9% | 28.4% | 34.6% |
| xgboost | 45.9% | 28.2% | 25.9% |
| logistic | 45.8% | 33.8% | 20.4% |
| Brescia | Pro Vercelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1447 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1447 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 513 | 3066 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Lecco | 2 - 2 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Alcione Milano | 4 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Venezia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 May | H | Reggiana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Carpi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | AS Giana Erminio | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Sep | A | AC Trento | 0 - 4 | L |
| 18 May | A | Cittadella | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 May | H | Ternana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Feb 2018 | Pro Vercelli | 0 - 0 | Brescia |
| 16 Sep 2017 | Brescia | 0 - 0 | Pro Vercelli |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.25 | 13.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.60 | 21.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |