OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ England League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Burton 1.00 2 - 1 1.40 Leyton Orient
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 43.6%38%+5.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.1%76%-2.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 56.3%53%+2.9%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 59.9%54%+5.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 54.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson34.7%27.8%37.6%
xgboost39.9%32.2%27.9%
logistic40.8%29.9%29.3%
Inputs the models saw
BurtonLeyton Orient
Elo (pre-match)14681453
Surface Elo14681453
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.40
Form trend0.300.30
Season points per game1.001.40
Season goals for / game1.000.60
Season goals against / game1.330.60
Rest days32
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W1 W · 3 D
Burton: last 5
20 OctHBradford0 - 0D
20 OctHBradford0 - 0D
17 OctAPeterborough United2 - 2D
17 OctAPeterboro2 - 2D
10 OctADoncaster0 - 1L
Leyton Orient: last 5
21 OctAReading0 - 1L
21 OctAReading0 - 1L
17 OctHBlackpool2 - 0W
17 OctHBlackpool2 - 0W
10 OctABradford0 - 0D
Head to head
02 May 2026Leyton Orient2 - 2Burton
29 Nov 2025Burton0 - 4Leyton Orient
01 Apr 2025Burton2 - 1Leyton Orient
14 Dec 2024Leyton Orient0 - 0Burton
17 Feb 2024Leyton Orient1 - 2Burton
28 Oct 2023Burton0 - 0Leyton Orient
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.7037.0%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6038.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9351.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8554.0%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC