| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.5% | 45% | +13.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 79.8% | 80% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 72.0% | 60% | +11.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 67% | -12.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.5% | 23.5% | 46.9% |
| xgboost | 28.9% | 24.1% | 47.1% |
| logistic | 6.9% | 12.2% | 80.9% |
| Wurzburger Kickers | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1364 | 1628 |
| Surface Elo | 1364 | 1628 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1995 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | FC Koln | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | SV Meppen 1912 | 0 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | SV Waldhof Mannheim 07 | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | TSV Havelse | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Hansa Rostock | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Crystal Palace | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Werder Bremen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Werder Bremen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | FC Koln | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.49 | 67.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |