| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 81.7% | 75% | +7.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 74.4% | 25.5% |
| logistic | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| John Echeverria | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1502 | 1456 |
| Surface Elo | 1502 | 1456 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | H | Guillaume Dalmasso | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Andrea Bacaloni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Nicolas Tepmahc | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Eliakim Coulibaly | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Lilian Marmousez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Nicolas Tepmahc | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Nicolas John Jadoun | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Nicolas Garcia Longo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Lars Goran Verwerft | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.34 | 74.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |