| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 82.8% | 88% | -4.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.5% | 32.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 91.4% | 8.6% |
| logistic | 78.8% | 21.2% |
| Alexander Zverev | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2173 | 1854 |
| Surface Elo | 2173 | 1854 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Yibing Wu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Yibing Wu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Novak Djokovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Novak Djokovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Alexander Blockx | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Alexander Blockx | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Coleman Wong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | Quentin Halys |
| 03 Sep 2026 | Alexander Zverev | 3 - 2 | Quentin Halys |
| 30 May 2026 | Alexander Zverev | 3 - 1 | Quentin Halys |
| 25 Mar 2026 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | Quentin Halys |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.20 | 16.1% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 10 Oct 06:15 |