| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.4% | 51% | +4.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.3% | 48.6% |
| logistic | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Guillaume Dalmasso | Aleksandr Braynin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1452 | 1399 |
| Surface Elo | 1452 | 1399 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Axel Garcian | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Boutleux, Noah | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Roan Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Clerc, Damien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Penzlin, J | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Car, Hugo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Nov | H | Nikolay Vylegzhanin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | H | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Michael Vrbensky | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.76 | 56.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 12 Oct 06:15 |