| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.8% | 65% | -4.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.3% | 57.6% |
| logistic | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Matilde Paoletti | Ruggeri, Jennifer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1520 | 1589 |
| Surface Elo | 1520 | 1589 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.58 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Cristina Diaz Adrover | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Martha Matoula | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Ariana Geerlings | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Styliani Roussopoulou | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Mazzola, Alessandra | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | A | Okutoyi, Angella | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Nuria Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Tichackova, E | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Mintegi Del Olmo, Ane | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.55 | 64.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |