| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.0% | 52% | -2.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.0% | 80% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.0% | 71% | -5.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.5% | 52% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.7% | 23.9% | 23.3% |
| xgboost | 48.3% | 27.9% | 23.7% |
| logistic | 42.3% | 27.7% | 30.0% |
| Celta | Levante | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1628 | 1597 |
| Surface Elo | 1628 | 1597 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.91 | 1.45 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.91 | 1.91 |
| Rest days | 8 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 2 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Union Gilloise | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Vallecano | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Vallecano | 0 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Betis | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Betis | 0 - 0 | D |
| 07 Nov | A | Atzeneta UE | 0 - 0 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | AC Torrellano | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Atlético Madrid | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Atlético Madrid | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Sociedad | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 May 2026 | Celta | 2 - 3 | Levante |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Levante | 1 - 2 | Celta |
| 21 Feb 2022 | Celta | 1 - 1 | Levante |
| 21 Sep 2021 | Levante | 0 - 2 | Celta |
| 30 Apr 2021 | Celta | 2 - 0 | Levante |
| 26 Oct 2020 | Levante | 1 - 1 | Celta |
| 16 Jul 2020 | Celta | 2 - 3 | Levante |
| 22 Dec 2019 | Levante | 3 - 1 | Celta |
| 16 Feb 2019 | Celta | 1 - 4 | Levante |
| 27 Aug 2018 | Levante | 1 - 2 | Celta |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.33 | 23.1% | 08 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 08 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 08 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.98 | 50.5% | 08 Nov 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.51 | 22.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.72 | 26.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.89 | 52.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.91 | 52.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |