| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 25.1% | 74.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| logistic | 29.6% | 70.4% |
| Adrian Mannarino | Daniil Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1862 | 2137 |
| Surface Elo | 1862 | 2137 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.31 | 2.68 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.62 | 1.74 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.85 | 0.47 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 5 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Ignacio Buse | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Alex Molcan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Daniel Merida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Alexander Bublik | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Jun 2025 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 26 Sep 2024 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 03 Jul 2023 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 3 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 12 Jun 2023 | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 1 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 06 Jun 2022 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 18 Mar 2019 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 02 Jul 2018 | Adrian Mannarino | 3 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 07 Aug 2017 | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 0 | Daniil Medvedev |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||