| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.3% | 46.1% |
| xgboost | 16.6% | 83.0% |
| logistic | 21.7% | 78.3% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | Montréal Canadiens | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1369 | 1611 |
| Surface Elo | 1369 | 1611 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 166 | 122 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 15 Apr | A | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 3 | L |
| 13 Apr | H | Dallas Stars | 5 - 6 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | Florida Panthers | 2 - 6 | L |
| 09 Apr | A | New York Islanders | 3 - 5 | L |
| 08 Apr | H | Washington Capitals | 0 - 4 | L |
| 30 May | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 6 | L |
| 28 May | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 0 - 4 | L |
| 26 May | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 May | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 3 | L |
| 22 May | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 6 - 2 | W |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 1 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 - 2 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 5 - 2 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 08 Oct 2025 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 - 2 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 - 0 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 7 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 1 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 09 Oct 2024 | Montréal Canadiens | 1 - 0 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||