| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.0% | 72% | -12.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 48.2% | 51.7% |
| logistic | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Jiri Lehecka | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1944 | 1803 |
| Surface Elo | 1944 | 1803 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 26 | 25 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Zizou Bergs | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Sep | H | Toby Samuel | 3 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 3 - 1 | W |
| 18 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Jiri Lehecka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Sep | A | Jesper De Jong | 3 - 1 | W |
| 02 Sep | A | Carlos Taberner | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Daniel Merida | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Jiri Lehecka | 2 - 1 | Zizou Bergs |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Jiri Lehecka | 2 - 0 | Zizou Bergs |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.39 | 71.9% | 29 Sep 06:15 |