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Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-01

🎾 tennis_atp_japan_open · Thursday 01 October 2026, 07:00 UTC · scheduled

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 3.00 07:00 1.20 Matteo Berrettini

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
No prediction run for this match yet.

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
–

Inputs the models saw

	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Matteo Berrettini
Elo (pre-match)	2017	1853
Surface Elo	2017	1853
Form, last 5 (PPG)	3.00	1.20
Form trend	0.00	0.00
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	1	29
Head-to-head (last 10)	1 W	1 W · 0 D

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: last 5

01 Oct	H	Matteo Berrettini	1 - 2	L
29 Sep	A	Hubert Hurkacz	2 - 0	W
29 Sep	H	Hubert Hurkacz	2 - 0	W
28 Sep	A	Nikoloz Basilashvili	2 - 1	W
28 Sep	H	Nikoloz Basilashvili	2 - 1	W

Matteo Berrettini: last 5

01 Oct	A	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2 - 1	W
02 Sep	A	Mariano Navone	1 - 3	L
31 Aug	H	Stan Wawrinka	3 - 0	W
16 Aug	A	Jiri Lehecka	1 - 2	L
14 Aug	H	Titouan Droguet	2 - 1	W

Head to head

01 Oct 2026	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1 - 2	Matteo Berrettini
29 Aug 2022	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2 - 3	Matteo Berrettini
12 Apr 2021	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2 - 0	Matteo Berrettini

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
888sport	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.61	62.1%	01 Oct 06:00
888sport	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.30	43.5%	01 Oct 06:00
BetAnything	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.65	60.6%	01 Oct 06:00
BetAnything	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.25	44.4%	01 Oct 06:00
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.64	61.0%	01 Oct 06:00
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.21	45.2%	01 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.69	59.2%	01 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.40	41.7%	01 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.72	58.1%	01 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Matteo Berrettini	2.44	41.0%	01 Oct 06:00
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.67	59.9%	01 Oct 06:00
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.30	43.5%	01 Oct 06:00
Betsson	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.64	61.0%	01 Oct 06:00
Betsson	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.21	45.2%	01 Oct 06:00
Coolbet	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.66	60.2%	01 Oct 06:00
Coolbet	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.23	44.8%	01 Oct 06:00
GTbets	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.67	59.9%	01 Oct 06:00
GTbets	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.33	42.9%	01 Oct 06:00
Marathon Bet	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.64	61.0%	01 Oct 06:00
Marathon Bet	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.24	44.6%	01 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.69	59.2%	01 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.40	41.7%	01 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.72	58.1%	01 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Matteo Berrettini	2.44	41.0%	01 Oct 06:00
Nordic Bet	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.64	61.0%	01 Oct 06:00
Nordic Bet	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.21	45.2%	01 Oct 06:00
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.70	58.8%	01 Oct 06:00
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.27	44.0%	01 Oct 06:00
PMU (FR)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.57	63.7%	01 Oct 06:00
PMU (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.14	46.7%	01 Oct 06:00
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.25	44.4%	01 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.67	59.9%	01 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.57	63.7%	01 Oct 06:00
Tipico	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.25	44.4%	01 Oct 06:00
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.55	64.5%	01 Oct 06:00
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.15	46.5%	01 Oct 06:00
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.65	60.6%	01 Oct 06:00
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.23	44.8%	01 Oct 06:00
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.65	60.6%	01 Oct 06:00
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.23	44.8%	01 Oct 06:00
William Hill	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.62	61.7%	01 Oct 06:00
William Hill	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.30	43.5%	01 Oct 06:00
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.68	59.5%	01 Oct 06:00
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.25	44.4%	01 Oct 06:00
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.64	61.0%	01 Oct 06:00
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	2.20	45.5%	01 Oct 06:00

Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC