| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.6% | 34% | +8.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.9% | 79% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.0% | 45% | +8.5% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 63% | -4.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.9% | 24.4% | 37.7% |
| xgboost | 36.7% | 28.0% | 35.3% |
| logistic | 29.9% | 29.1% | 40.9% |
| Osnabruck | Greuther Furth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1353 | 1412 |
| Surface Elo | 1353 | 1412 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Bielefeld | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Bielefeld | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Dresden | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Dresden | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Braunschweig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Braunschweig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Stuttgart | 0 - 5 | L |
| 07 Apr 2024 | Osnabruck | 2 - 0 | Greuther Furth |
| 27 Oct 2023 | Greuther Furth | 4 - 0 | Osnabruck |
| 26 Jan 2021 | Osnabruck | 0 - 1 | Greuther Furth |
| 20 Sep 2020 | Greuther Furth | 1 - 1 | Osnabruck |
| 26 May 2020 | Greuther Furth | 0 - 2 | Osnabruck |
| 27 Oct 2019 | Osnabruck | 0 - 0 | Greuther Furth |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 25 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 25 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 25 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 25 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 25 Oct 12:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |