| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.4% | 40% | +7.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.4% | 78% | -2.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.7% | 56% | +4.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 57% | +0.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.4% | 30.9% | 27.8% |
| xgboost | 42.5% | 22.0% | 35.5% |
| logistic | 42.0% | 27.9% | 30.1% |
| Morton | Queens Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1413 | 1452 |
| Surface Elo | 1413 | 1452 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 2 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Arbroath | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Arbroath | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Raith Rovers FC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Raith Rvs | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Inverness C | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Inverness C | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Raith Rovers FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Raith Rvs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Arbroath | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Queens Park | 2 - 1 | Morton |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Morton | 0 - 0 | Queens Park |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Queens Park | 3 - 2 | Morton |
| 05 Dec 2025 | Morton | 2 - 1 | Queens Park |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Queens Park | 0 - 0 | Morton |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Morton | 2 - 1 | Queens Park |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Queens Park | 1 - 2 | Morton |
| 29 Oct 2024 | Morton | 0 - 1 | Queens Park |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Queens Park | 1 - 0 | Morton |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Morton | 2 - 0 | Queens Park |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.65 | 60.6% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.75 | 57.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |