| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.0% | 62% | -11.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.2% | 80% | -3.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.1% | 82% | -16.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 58% | -0.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.6% | 25.3% | 29.1% |
| xgboost | 49.1% | 26.2% | 24.7% |
| logistic | 45.8% | 26.3% | 27.9% |
| Sociedad | La Coruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1619 | 1601 |
| Surface Elo | 1619 | 1601 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| Rest days | 20 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Celta B | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Amurrio Club | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Granada | 2 - 3 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Athletic Club | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Real Union de Irun | 3 - 3 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Betis | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Sevilla | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Getafe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Villarreal | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Valencia | 3 - 1 | W |
| 02 Feb 2018 | Sociedad | 5 - 0 | La Coruna |
| 10 Sep 2017 | La Coruna | 2 - 4 | Sociedad |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 11 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 11 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.75 | 57.1% | 11 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 11 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 11 Oct 15:15 |