OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Italy Serie A · Saturday 07 November 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
Roma 2.20 3 - 0 0.20 Sassuolo
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 73.7%76%-2.1%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 90.5%91%-0.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 89.2%89%+0.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 74.1%74%+0.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 60.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson69.4%18.1%12.5%
xgboost80.8%13.0%6.2%
logistic77.6%15.8%6.5%
Inputs the models saw
RomaSassuolo
Elo (pre-match)18561587
Surface Elo18561587
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.200.20
Form trend-0.400.20
Season points per game2.200.20
Season goals for / game2.801.40
Season goals against / game1.403.40
Rest days75
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W1 W · 4 D
Roma: last 5
03 NovAMan Utd2 - 3L
31 OctAUdinese5 - 2W
31 OctAUdinese5 - 2W
27 OctHCagliari4 - 2W
27 OctHCagliari4 - 2W
Sassuolo: last 5
02 NovHFiorentina2 - 4L
02 NovHFiorentina2 - 4L
27 OctHLazio2 - 6L
27 OctHLazio2 - 6L
24 OctAComo0 - 2L
Head to head
10 Jan 2026Roma2 - 0Sassuolo
26 Oct 2025Sassuolo0 - 1Roma
17 Mar 2024Roma1 - 0Sassuolo
03 Dec 2023Sassuolo1 - 2Roma
12 Mar 2023Roma3 - 4Sassuolo
09 Nov 2022Sassuolo1 - 1Roma
13 Feb 2022Sassuolo2 - 2Roma
12 Sep 2021Roma2 - 1Sassuolo
03 Apr 2021Sassuolo2 - 2Roma
06 Dec 2020Roma0 - 0Sassuolo
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away9.2110.9%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw6.5015.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3275.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3673.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.2530.8%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC