| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.8% | 91% | -11.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 91.8% | 8.2% |
| logistic | 67.8% | 32.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Qinwen Zheng | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1771 | 1503 |
| Surface Elo | 1771 | 1503 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 32 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Mirra Andreeva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elise Mertens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Alina Charaeva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Marie Bouzkova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Mihalikova, Tereza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Berfu Cengiz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Ayla Aksu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Altinel, Alya Naz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Han Shi | 1 - 2 | Qinwen Zheng |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.90 | 12.7% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.10 | 90.9% | 30 Sep 06:15 |