| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.1% | 45% | -3.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.7% | 76% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.9% | 61% | -6.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 62% | -6.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.9% | 26.3% | 36.9% |
| xgboost | 40.1% | 22.0% | 37.9% |
| logistic | 43.9% | 26.1% | 30.0% |
| Rennes | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1727 | 1784 |
| Surface Elo | 1727 | 1784 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 5 W · 4 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Olympiacos | 0 - 0 | D |
| 30 Oct | A | Nice | 2 - 5 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Nice | 2 - 5 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Strasbourg | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Strasbourg | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Bodoe/Glimt | 0 - 0 | D |
| 30 Oct | H | Lens | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Lens | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Monaco | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Monaco | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Rennes | 1 - 2 | Lille |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Lille | 0 - 2 | Rennes |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Rennes | 0 - 2 | Lille |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Lille | 1 - 0 | Rennes |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Lille | 2 - 2 | Rennes |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Rennes | 2 - 2 | Lille |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Rennes | 1 - 3 | Lille |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Lille | 1 - 1 | Rennes |
| 21 May 2022 | Lille | 2 - 2 | Rennes |
| 01 Dec 2021 | Rennes | 1 - 2 | Lille |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.22 | 31.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.73 | 26.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.21 | 45.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |