OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-30
🎾 ATP Tokyo, Japan Men Singles · Wednesday 30 September 2026, 07:05 UTC · finished
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1.20 1 - 2 1.80 Stefanos Tsitsipas
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 68.5%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov45.1%54.9%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost20.9%79.0%
logistic35.1%64.9%
Inputs the models saw
Tomas Martin EtcheverryStefanos Tsitsipas
Elo (pre-match)17631903
Surface Elo17631903
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.80
Form trend0.900.00
Season points per game0.001.50
Season goals for / game0.001.50
Season goals against / game2.001.50
Rest days524
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W2 W · 0 D
Tomas Martin Etcheverry: last 5
25 SepAKyrian Jacquet0 - 2L
25 SepAKyrian Jacquet0 - 2L
06 SepAAlex Michelsen0 - 3L
04 SepAMariano Navone3 - 0W
02 SepAJacob Fearnley3 - 1W
Stefanos Tsitsipas: last 5
06 SepABen Shelton0 - 3L
04 SepAJiri Lehecka3 - 1W
02 SepALloyd Harris3 - 1W
31 AugAArthur Fils3 - 1W
27 AugAAleksandar Kovacevic0 - 2L
Head to head
26 May 2025Stefanos Tsitsipas3 - 0Tomas Martin Etcheverry
08 Apr 2024Stefanos Tsitsipas2 - 0Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-10-30 18:19 UTC